Thursday, August 11, 2011

us pga championship


schwartzel looks good value here to me - not that I'm particularly expecting him to win but think he could well make the frame and at 60/1 that is tempting indeed

obviously he won the masters this yr but still remains abit under the radar - when you consider he finished 9th in the us open and then 16th in the british open he has a jolly impressive record in the majors this yr and one that would garner more attention if he was one of the biggest names in the game

he has made the cut in all 12 of the events he has played on the us tour this yr... 16 in total consecutively.. his stats are good and he should flourish on a par 70 as the only area he is a bit weak on is the par 5 perf...

so if he as the form, has the confidence gained from winning at augusta - as the ability.. then there isnt much to stop him and he sounds confident and relaxed too which is a major plus on a course like this

I would have thought 33/1 was a more realistic price so Im happy to get on board at 65 betfair


having backed stricker plenty of times and won a few he is one of my fav picks... but he hasnt quite clicked in majors and is way overdue now!

so I'll give him another go this wk although he may be better suited to courses where he can score well as he just luvs banging in birdies all day - thats the only doubt for me as here he will have to wait until they come along as its going to bemuch harder than usual...

stats wise he is top of the tree in so many areas and win wise he should have the confidence now to take a major having won tour wins into double figures these days

not too sure he will win but he is stil value at this price even for an each way shout and considering he has been notching top 20s nonstop for months he looks a reasonably sure bet


another one like stricker who I have backed a lot over the last yr or two... another one who is due to win a major in the near future too perhaps

watney has got a great record in recent times and has been so consistent.. has won twice too this yr which is always a good sign pre-this major

consistently finishing high up the leaderboard, almost won this previously too of course.. game should suit fairly well and if he is confident he may well take that next step up and establish himself at the top of the game

I expect a strong showing from the US players as you can expect donald mcilroy and westy to do likewise from europe - could be a cracking tourney and staying cool and controlled will be vital as this course may well bite

watney looks fairly good value at this price so worth a little dabble on him > 38 betfair


in great form and has played well in the last two majors with top 20 finishes... in fact he has 10 of his last 11 events with top 21 or better.. has a couple of 2nd places in there and is overdue a win

now whether he can do it here is another matter but he did play well in the us and british opens

allround rank of 1 is impressive... plenty of birdies scoring well and generally has a good allround game obviously to justify that stat

and as this is the year of the rookie and first time winners etc then why not simpson doing well here? in great consistent form and fired a 66 in the first round of open championship too so not afraid of going out there and scoring well..

odds are about right but look good to me so worth an each way punt > 80 on betfair


dont need to say to omuch about the credentials of mickelson as he is obviously one of the top names in the game etc but I am picking him on the basis that you dont often see him at these sort of odds - he was out of sorts uspposedly before the british open but still managed to find a 2nd place finish - and if clarkey hadnt been on top of his game then another major would have made its way to mr mickelson's trophy cabinet

anyway - he has a decent record in this major unlike the open championship - and also has the game to suit here although he will need ot be accurate off the tee which sometimes causes problems for him... should be able to scramble well though and will appreciate the greens too

there are plenty of players who look like they could go well here this wk and the young guns are taking over this yr as we predicted in the OLBG golf forum a couple of yrs ago!... but micko is a wise old sausage and if he remains calm then he can prosper here... win only bet at these odds and bit of a all or nothing vote for him as he will either win well or be nowhere in my opinion! > 28 betfair

trades > fancy dabbles on de jonge at 240, micheel at 1000, elkington at 460, piercy 430

1 comment:

  1. micheel wasa good trade after shooting low on day 1, managed to layhim off at 110 after backing at 1000 so that was very helpful..

    also stricker flew out of the traps so managed to lay him off at under 4 on friday (price looked too low for that early in the event)

    helped me get a green screen and then did a bit of trading here and there and ended up with a nice profit as bradley was one of my trades (backed at 190 but small stakes only!)