Wednesday, May 25, 2011

hp byron nelson championship

very open event and top 10 in the market all have a chance of course but none jump out really - DJ is an obvious shout if I had to pick one.. Gay was disappointing last wk and should go well here but would prefer 40s not 28.. Sabba likewise is bang in form but 25 isn't over generous

my ratings show Gay / Sabba / DJ in the top 10 but for betting purposes / value I think >

john SENDEN is a good shout but not sure if he can win as have doubts over his putting... should do well as in consistent form and top 10 last wk.. worth an e/w shout at 40/1 or so for sure (might back him at 48 betfair and see how he goes)

can see some longer prices doing well so will go with that theory this wk

blake ADAMS > 150 on betfair > 2nd here last yr on his debut at this course, played well last wk with a T16th and could be due to hit some form after a string of mid range finishes this season.. nothing impressive stats wise but could be good value

heath SLOCUM > 200 betfair > I backed Sstreelman at 200 last wk and he ended 10th so going for another at that price this wk and hoping for better lol; slocum missed the cut last wk by a shot but was 12th here last yr - also is very accurate and hits a lot of GIR but cant sink much.. if he putts well he may do well here

brett WETTERICH > 160 betfair isn't bad for a previous winner; returning to the fold and has done well on a brief sojourn to the nationwide tour (won once in 4 events) - hope he can find his old form

rod PAMPLING > 120 betfair long overdue return to bit of form for the aussie with two top15s in last 3 events played; good putter and could be a surprise package here

Trading > Bowditch at 160 (hint of form last wk T16th and due to get married here later this yr funnily - long hitting aussie has had lot of problems but has ability and could go well)... Sim @ 600 (out of form but has ability and had a good round last wk / needs to find some greens!)... Beckman at 260 (no form at all with string of MC but did that last yr then came 5th here)

1 comment:

  1. no joy this week although wetterich and pampling threatened to get up there briefly.. bowditch managed to shoot a 65 which was impressive but then went backwards and shot over 80 lol