Thursday, May 19, 2011

crowne plaza colonial

JASON DAY > win only bet as so much in his favour - home course, excellent form (three top 10s in last 3 events, 5 this yr etc ) 4th in all round ranking blah blah... obvious and he will either win or come nowhere!! will be annoying if he wins and I dont back him so will go for the win bet 19 Betfair

BRIAN GAY > looks v good value at 40/1 (42 Betfair) - last week he took an 8 on the 18th in the first round; add two other DBs and he still ended at -8 (12).. if he had avoided those he could have been in contention (applies to all I know but you know what I mean!) was tied 6th putting and tied 2 birdies last wk.. also has super stats with no 1 ranked driv accuracy, sand, scrambling, inside 5' putting etc etc > looks to be a jolly decent bet due to course, form, etc and probably will let us all down now!!

KEVIN STREELMAN > posted a 67 final round last wk and can be a bit streaky.. putts well and if he can stay straight on this course he may well provide good value at 200 (Betfair) - may look to trade out of him tho

> good player, good stats, in form (3rd, 6th last 2) and should go well here as accurate off the tee.. needs to sink a few putts as usual but 60 (Betfair) is high enough to attract me

STEWART CINK > feeling rather than judgment here as hasn't done much this yr and stats are poor... but shown good signs recently with couple of decent finishes and cutting out the poor holes.. could be steady and sneak in late - 42 Betfair

Garcia could be a good trade as getting some form back although not sure he can do enough to win.. might post a 65 or so though and see his price drop.. Tringale at 280 and Atwal at 540 other small trades 


  1. cink & gay started well at -6, two shots off the lead so both dropped from 40 odd to below 20... not so good in subsequent rounds although gay is still lurking..

    toms has gone backwards as was expected as you cant keep shooting 62s!

    other bets not too clever although all made the cut again

  2. streelman ended 10th which was decent although never close enough to lay off - cink likewise never close enough after starting well... not bad but no return this week