bmw championship (fedex playoff)

charl schwartzel > masters champion is often still under the radar but has the ability and has had a cracking record in recent times in big events.. more than capable of playing well on tough courses like this and could be timing his form just nicely again... might well want to add some playoff glory to his improving cv

led at halfway in boston and was looking good but may be able to string it together for 4 days here.. tough course will sort some of them out and not a birdiefest like recently too thankfully

can see jason day doing well but isnt getting over the finish line...his time will no doubt come soon -  the main protagonists should all be up there... stricker has gone off the boil so avoiding him for a change and watney is in form despite an awful hole messing him up last time out

villegas I have backed a lot recently but odds have dropped now so not so much value there..sneds too could be in the mix... have gone for a few that may do it this week but any of the field and especially the top 20 in the market could easily win this open event > 36 betfair

jim furyk > available at 30 on betfair and sneaking into some form, almost reminiscent of last yr where he kinda came from nowhere to take the pot of gold...

hasnt done much all year but is looking more solid these days and more like his old self - finished 9th at the wyndham and then 6th last time out so starting to find the top 10 again after a string of mediocre perfs

stats dont say much understandably but hi sgame is built around being unspectacular... plotting his way round and it obviously works well for him to say the least... this should help here of course and if he can sink a few putts then he may make a good move here and be capable of defending his title

has a stellar career record and a terrific record inthese playoffs too.. also has a string of top 10 finishes here so everything is lined up for him to revert to type and grind his way round to a top 5 finish or a surprising win perhaps - 30 betfair

dustin johnson > won this last year and was also a winner a few weeks ago when the playoffs started so not much more needs to be added about his ability other than for a guy who hits it so stupidly far, he also hits a heck of a lot of fairways

distance also means he can hit short irons in and attack pins and thus he is a superb golfer who is maturing nicely and being an incredible athlete too means he really is poised to become a major star - more so than he already is.. can see him adding some majors as he has been very close and suffered a bit but that all helps build the knowledge and mental strength

so this wk... tough course and you need to be accurate but he has the attributes and if on form could be good value at about 19 on betfair..win bet for me

phil mickelson > not often you get mickelson at the odds he has been offered at quite a few times this season - backed him in the open championship on that basis as he was about 40 plus which is great value..he proved then that he could still tick along in contention..

no whe has switched to the 'in' putter he may well miss a few but that has always been his way - more than capable and although he may miss some fairways here and struggle I wouldnt be surprised if he scored well overall and was in contention

could be a decent value bet accordingly at 25/1 or so... he can still come from nowhere to an extent and take the fedex cup - finished 10th last wk and shot a tasty 63 in the penultimate round; problem here could well be the course but its tough for all of them and micko is more experienced than almost all here of course - chance for the slightly older guy to hold back the stream of new young guns taking over perhaps 27 betfair

bo van pelt > consistent all season and has made 17 of 24 cuts and then gone on to finish in the top 25 in 12 of those 17 weekenders - so if he gets off to a start he should stay the course wellhad 4 top10s too this season but only 1 in the frame so unlikely to win but could sneak in late and make the top 5 perhaps... in good nick and hence lets hope he continues this week... finished well last event - has some decent stats and does well in overall ranking and ball striking (both 9th) - also has had some decent finishes this season in big events with 8th at the masters and 14th in the us open.. was 7th at the deutsche 2 weeks ago.. hope he finds the putts to keep that form going a she needs to gain more shots on the flat surfaces 75 betfair

scotland v georgia

quickie re the rugby world cup game later today

with so many so-called weaker teams doing well so far it is worth checking the handicaps on these games... georgia tonight take on scotland who will want to win well but could find them a tough nnut to crack

the handicap has already shifted as the bookies tighten up a bit but looking at the prices on betfair there seems to be some value in backing the georgians to get close to the scots and also score 12pts or more

georgia aren't too far removed from romania in ability (beat them by 5 and lost by 12 in the qualfying) and romania lsot by 10 to scotland the other day so although you can't take these scores as definitive guides, it shows they have a chance of keeping within 10-15pts perhaps

bets >

georgia points > above 11.5 is 1.77 which isn't a bad return on your money if you think they will pop over a few pens or score a converted try and maybe 2 pens

georgia > +21.5pts if you think they can get within 22pts then this market is about 1.6 which again isn't bad for what looks to be a reasonably good shout

fulham v blackburn / norwich v wba

FULHAM v BLACKBURN

last season I backed clint DEMPSEY to score as he has a penchant for netting against blackburn rovers.. he duly obliged and his recent record is now 'scored in 4 of his last 5 games' against blackburn

not bad... sometimes these little peculiarities have a habit of continuing for a while - much more than they should statistically but always worth watching out for

unibet have him as 5/2 to score anytime which may be worth a flutter; 13/2 with william hill for first scorer if you want to be more specific

game-wise it's a basement battle although that is a bit unrealistic as fulham should do ok; blackburn were very unlucky home to everton when losing and will no doubt improve but do look a bit short of talent - perhaps a battling draw is the best option here as fulham are 4/6 generally - there have been all results in the recent history  so not much to go on

recent fulham form indicates a 1-0 home win as they have been very tight at the cottage and usually do well against lesser lights

NORWICH v WBA

I personally think WBA have been unlucky this season and this could be a bit of a surprise with them nicking it in a fairly high-scoring game > 9/5 is available for the baggies to pinch the 3pts on the road

norwich tend to score all the time but also look weak defensively hence over 2.5 @ 10/11 appeals - also WBA have had overs in their last 6 away EPL games and have scored in their last 7 away (after a barren run prior to that)

footie multibets week 3

A> singles (2/4, strike rate 50%, profit +0.6pts)

charlton 8/13, colchester 4/5, chelsea 7/10, wolves -0.25 AH @ 5/4


> 5pt stake on each

B> draw trixie (1/2, profit +139.88pts)

west ham v pompey 3/1

scunthorpe v sheff utd 5/2

everton v villa 27/11

> 2pt trixie=8pt stake

C> perm 5 from 6 (0/2, -14pts)

wolves 15/8

southampton 5/6

huddersfield 8/11

swindon evens

crawley evens

chelsea 7/10

> 1pt perm any5,all6 from 6 = 7pt stake

D> correct scores (1/18, profit -11.25pts)

Arsenal v Swansea > 3-1 @ 23/2
Everton v Aston Villa > 1-2 @ 13/1
Man City v Wigan > 1-0 @ 8/1
Stoke v Liverpool > 1-2 @ 35/4
Sunderland v Chelsea > 0-2 @ 7/1
Wolves v Spurs > 2-1 @ 11-1 (nap bet!)
Bolton v Man Utd > 1-2 @ 8/1
Norwich v WBA > 0-1 @ 9/1
Fulham v Blackburn > 3-1 @ 16/1
QPR v Newcastle > 1-1 @ 11/2

> 1pt each = 10pt stake

E> 2.5 goals (3/6, strike rate 50%, profit -1pt)

everton villa overs  11/10

stoke liverpool over 11/10

peterboro hull under 7/5

> 5pts on each = 15pt stake

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